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Reading v Bolton Wanderers prediction

Tue 17 Feb, 20:00 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Bolton Wanderers to win 42%
Reading 31% Draw 27% Bolton 42%
Best price2.15 WilliamHill Fair price2.39 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 43%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBolton Wanderers to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Reading All games D W L W W
2–2 v EXE 2–0 at NHT 2–3 at AWM 2–1 at WIG 3–2 v WYC
Bolton Wanderers All games W W W W D
2–1 v LEY 2–1 v BRA 1–0 at AWM 3–2 v BRS 1–1 at LNC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 4 of Reading's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerReadingDrawBolton
Betfair 3.10 3.50 2.10
bet365 3.10 3.50 2.15
WilliamHill 3.00 3.30 2.15
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Reading v Bolton Wanderers: prediction and result

Reading hosted Bolton Wanderers in the League One on Tuesday 17 February, and it finished 1–1.

Reading are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Wycombe Wanderers.

Bolton Wanderers are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Lincoln City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Reading, 3.50 for the draw and 2.15 for Bolton. The bookmakers make Bolton Wanderers favourites, at about 43% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bolton Wanderers to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 43% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.15 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.39. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.