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Shrewsbury Town v Notts County prediction

Tue 17 Feb, 19:45 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Notts County to win 41%
Shrewsbury 30% Draw 29% Notts 41%
Best price2.25 WilliamHill Fair price2.44 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNotts County to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Shrewsbury Town All games L D L W W
0–1 at CMU 0–0 v BNT 0–2 at CLU 2–1 v BRW 3–1 v SWI
Notts County All games W W W W D
2–1 v SWI 2–1 at FLT 1–0 v GLG 2–1 v BRW 1–1 at BMY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 2 of Shrewsbury Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Notts County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerShrewsburyDrawNotts
WilliamHill 3.10 3.00 2.25
Betfair 3.10 3.10 2.25
bet365 3.10 3.25 2.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Shrewsbury Town v Notts County: prediction and result

Shrewsbury Town hosted Notts County in the League Two on Tuesday 17 February and won 1–0.

Shrewsbury Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Swindon Town.

Notts County are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Bromley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Shrewsbury, 3.25 for the draw and 2.25 for Notts. The bookmakers make Notts County favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Notts County to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.25 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.44. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.