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Wigan Athletic v Luton Town prediction

Wed 18 Feb, 19:45 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Luton Town to win 36%
Wigan 36% Draw 28% Luton 36%
Best price2.62 WilliamHill Fair price2.78 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 36%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Wigan Athletic All games D L L L L
3–3 at DNR 0–2 at WYC 0–1 v LNC 1–6 at PTU 1–2 v RDG
Luton Town All games L L W W L
0–1 at PLA 0–1 at HDD 1–0 v BLK 2–1 v BDC 1–3 at CDF

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Wigan Athletic's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Luton Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWiganDrawLuton
Betfair 2.75 3.00 2.50
WilliamHill 2.62 3.00 2.62
bet365 2.62 3.25 2.62
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Wigan Athletic v Luton Town: prediction and result

Wigan Athletic hosted Luton Town in the League One on Wednesday 18 February and won 1–0.

Wigan Athletic are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 14 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Reading.

Luton Town are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Cardiff City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.75 for Wigan, 3.25 for the draw and 2.62 for Luton. The bookmakers see little between Luton Town and Wigan Athletic here.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 2.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.78. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.