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Accrington Stanley v Shrewsbury Town prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Shrewsbury Town to win 39%
Accrington 39% Draw 23% Shrewsbury 39%
Best price3.00 bet365 Fair price2.59 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 51%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 19%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceShrewsbury Town to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Accrington Stanley All games W W W L W
4–1 at NPT 3–1 v CTT 1–0 v SAL 0–1 at GBT 1–0 at TRR
Shrewsbury Town All games D L W W W
0–0 v BNT 0–2 at CLU 2–1 v BRW 3–1 v SWI 1–0 v NOT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 2 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Shrewsbury Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAccringtonDrawShrewsbury
Betfair 51.00 12.00 1.05
WilliamHill 2.45 3.10 2.80
bet365 2.37 3.20 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Accrington Stanley v Shrewsbury Town: prediction and result

Accrington Stanley hosted Shrewsbury Town in the League Two on Saturday 21 February, and Shrewsbury Town won 0–2 away from home.

Accrington Stanley are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Tranmere Rovers.

Shrewsbury Town are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Notts County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 51.00 for Accrington, 12.00 for the draw and 3.00 for Shrewsbury. The bookmakers make Shrewsbury Town favourites, at about 76% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Shrewsbury Town to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 51% and our match model at 19%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 3.00 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.59, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.