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AFC Wimbledon v Bradford City prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:30 League One Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
AFC Wimbledon to win 37%
AFC Wimbledon 37% Draw 29% Bradford 35%
Best price2.75 WilliamHill Fair price2.72 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 34%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Wimbledon to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Wimbledon All games L W W D L
0–1 v BOL 1–0 at PTV 3–2 v RDG 3–3 at BRS 1–4 at CDF
Bradford City All games L W L W W
0–3 at LNC 1–0 v DNR 1–2 at LUT 2–0 v PTU 1–0 v STO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes46% Both teams scored in 1 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Bradford City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC WimbledonDrawBradford
WilliamHill 2.75 3.00 2.50
Betfair 2.70 3.10 2.50
bet365 2.62 3.20 2.62
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Wimbledon v Bradford City: prediction and result

AFC Wimbledon hosted Bradford City in the League One on Saturday 21 February and won 3–1.

AFC Wimbledon are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–4 defeat away at Cardiff City.

Bradford City are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Stockport County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.75 for AFC Wimbledon, 3.20 for the draw and 2.62 for Bradford. The bookmakers see little between Bradford City and AFC Wimbledon here.

Our prediction: AFC Wimbledon to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 34% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.75 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.72, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.