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Aston Villa v Leeds United prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Aston Villa to win 52%
Aston Villa 52% Draw 26% Leeds 22%
Best price1.85 WilliamHill Fair price1.92 from our 52%

How we got to 52%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 52%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAston Villa to win 52%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Aston Villa All games L W L D W
0–1 v EVE 2–0 at NEW 0–1 v BRE 1–1 at BOU 1–0 v BHA
Leeds United All games W D L W D
1–0 v FUL 1–1 at EVE 0–4 v ARS 3–1 v NFO 2–2 at CHE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Leeds United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAston VillaDrawLeeds
WilliamHill 1.85 3.70 4.00
Betfair 1.83 3.25 4.50
bet365 1.75 3.75 4.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Aston Villa v Leeds United: prediction and result

Aston Villa hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Saturday 21 February, and it finished 1–1.

Aston Villa are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Brighton & Hove Albion.

Leeds United are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Chelsea.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.85 for Aston Villa, 3.75 for the draw and 4.50 for Leeds. The bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites, at about 53% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Aston Villa to win, with a 52% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 52%, and blending those with recent form gives 52%. The best price, 1.85 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.92. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.