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Nottingham Forest v Liverpool prediction

Sun 22 Feb, 14:00 Premier League Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Liverpool to win 50%
Nott'm Forest 25% Draw 25% Liverpool 50%
Best price1.90 bet365 Fair price2.00 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Nottingham Forest All games D W D L D
0–0 v ARS 2–0 at BRE 1–1 v CRY 1–3 at LEE 0–0 v WOL
Liverpool All games D L W L W
1–1 v BUR 2–3 at BOU 4–1 v NEW 1–2 v MCI 1–0 at SUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 2 of Nottingham Forest's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Liverpool's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNott'm ForestDrawLiverpool
Betfair 3.90 3.90 1.85
WilliamHill 3.80 3.75 1.85
bet365 3.60 3.90 1.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Nottingham Forest v Liverpool: prediction and result

Nottingham Forest hosted Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday 22 February, and Liverpool won 0–1 away from home.

Nottingham Forest are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Liverpool are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Sunderland.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.90 for Nott'm Forest, 3.90 for the draw and 1.90 for Liverpool. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 51% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 1.90 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.00. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.