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Manchester City v Newcastle United prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 20:00 Premier League Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester City to win 63%
Man City 63% Draw 20% Newcastle 16%
Best price1.57 bet365 Fair price1.58 from our 63%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 66%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 60%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 63%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester City All games L W D W W
0–2 at MUN 2–0 v WOL 2–2 at TOT 2–1 at LIV 3–0 v FUL
Newcastle United All games D L L L W
0–0 at WOL 0–2 v AVL 1–4 at LIV 2–3 v BRE 2–1 at TOT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 2 of Manchester City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Newcastle United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan CityDrawNewcastle
bet365 1.57 4.75 5.00
WilliamHill 1.55 4.40 5.00
Betfair 1.22 5.50 13.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester City v Newcastle United: prediction and result

Manchester City hosted Newcastle United in the Premier League on Saturday 21 February and won 2–1.

Manchester City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Fulham.

Newcastle United are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Tottenham Hotspur.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.57 for Man City, 5.50 for the draw and 13.00 for Newcastle. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 71% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 63% chance. The market puts it at 66% and our match model at 60%, and blending those with recent form gives 63%. The best price, 1.57 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.58. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.