How we got to 63%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Manchester City
All games
L
W
D
W
W
Newcastle United
All games
D
L
L
L
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersManchester City v Newcastle United: prediction and result
Manchester City hosted Newcastle United in the Premier League on Saturday 21 February and won 2–1.
Manchester City are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Fulham.
Newcastle United are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Tottenham Hotspur.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.57 for Man City, 5.50 for the draw and 13.00 for Newcastle. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 71% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 63% chance. The market puts it at 66% and our match model at 60%, and blending those with recent form gives 63%. The best price, 1.57 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.58. The pick won.
More Premier League predictions
All Premier League picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.