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Brentford v Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 Premier League Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Brighton & Hove Albion to win 42%
Brentford 35% Draw 23% Brighton 42%
Best price3.40 bet365 Fair price2.39 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 34%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrighton & Hove Albion to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Brentford All games L L W W D
0–2 at CHE 0–2 v NFO 1–0 at AVL 3–2 at NEW 1–1 v ARS
Brighton & Hove Albion All games D L D L L
1–1 v BOU 1–2 at FUL 1–1 v EVE 0–1 v CRY 0–1 at AVL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes57% Both teams scored in 3 of Brentford's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBrentfordDrawBrighton
Betfair 17.00 8.00 1.13
WilliamHill 2.30 3.30 3.00
bet365 2.05 3.70 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Brentford v Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and result

Brentford hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday 21 February, and Brighton & Hove Albion won 0–2 away from home.

Brentford are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Arsenal.

Brighton & Hove Albion are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Aston Villa.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 17.00 for Brentford, 8.00 for the draw and 3.40 for Brighton. The bookmakers make Brighton & Hove Albion favourites, at about 62% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 34%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 3.40 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.39, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.