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Bristol Rovers v Grimsby Town prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 League Two Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Bristol Rovers to win 38%
Bristol 38% Draw 24% Grimsby 38%
Best price3.10 bet365 Fair price2.61 from our 38%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 26%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBristol Rovers to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bristol Rovers All games W W L L L
3–0 v NPT 2–0 v WSL 2–3 v CST 1–3 at CMU 0–2 at OAT
Grimsby Town All games W D D W D
1–0 at CLU 2–2 v MKD 0–0 at NPT 1–0 v ACC 2–2 v WSL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 2 of Bristol Rovers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Grimsby Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBristolDrawGrimsby
bet365 3.10 3.40 2.25
WilliamHill 3.00 3.25 2.20
Betfair 1.17 7.00 13.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bristol Rovers v Grimsby Town: prediction and result

Bristol Rovers hosted Grimsby Town in the League Two on Saturday 21 February and won 3–1.

Bristol Rovers are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Oldham Athletic.

Grimsby Town are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Walsall.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.10 for Bristol, 7.00 for the draw and 13.00 for Grimsby. The bookmakers make Bristol Rovers favourites, at about 59% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Bristol Rovers to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 26%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 3.10 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.61, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.