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Cheltenham Town v Salford City prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 League Two Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Salford City to win 54%
Cheltenham 23% Draw 23% Salford 54%
Best price1.80 WilliamHill Fair price1.86 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSalford City to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cheltenham Town All games L L L D D
0–2 v GBT 1–3 at ACC 2–3 v MKD 0–0 at BNT 1–1 at BMY
Salford City All games W L W L L
1–0 v BRR 0–1 v CST 2–0 at TRR 0–1 at ACC 1–3 v NPT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 3 of Cheltenham Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Salford City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCheltenhamDrawSalford
Betfair 10.00 5.50 1.25
bet365 4.10 3.80 1.75
WilliamHill 4.00 3.50 1.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cheltenham Town v Salford City: prediction and result

Cheltenham Town hosted Salford City in the League Two on Saturday 21 February and won 3–2.

Cheltenham Town are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Bromley.

Salford City are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Newport County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 10.00 for Cheltenham, 5.50 for the draw and 1.80 for Salford. The bookmakers make Salford City favourites, at about 66% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Salford City to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 1.80 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.86. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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1–3 FT Salford City v Newport County Salford City to win 69% 1–1 FT Bromley v Cheltenham Town Bromley to win 58% 0–0 FT Milton Keynes Dons v Crawley Town Milton Keynes Dons to win 58% 1–2 FT Barnet v Swindon Town Barnet to win 51% 0–1 FT Barrow v Harrogate Town Barrow to win 51% 1–1 FT Cambridge United v Colchester United Cambridge United to win 48% 2–0 FT Oldham Athletic v Bristol Rovers Oldham Athletic to win 45% 1–0 FT Chesterfield v Gillingham Chesterfield to win 45%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.