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Colchester United v Barnet prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 League Two Full time 4–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Colchester United to win 41%
Colchester 40% Draw 28% Barnet 32%
Best price2.70 bet365 Fair price2.47 from our 41%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 36%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceColchester United to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Colchester United All games L L W L D
0–1 v GBT 0–1 at CAX 2–0 v SHT 0–1 at BRW 1–1 at CMU
Barnet All games D D W D L
0–0 at SHT 1–1 v CAX 3–1 at WSL 0–0 v CTT 1–2 v SWI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 2 of Colchester United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Barnet's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerColchesterDrawBarnet
bet365 2.70 3.30 2.55
WilliamHill 2.62 3.10 2.50
Betfair 1.50 3.75 7.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Colchester United v Barnet: prediction and result

Colchester United hosted Barnet in the League Two on Saturday 21 February and won 4–1.

Colchester United are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Cambridge United.

Barnet are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Swindon Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Colchester, 3.75 for the draw and 7.00 for Barnet. The bookmakers make Colchester United favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Colchester United to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.70 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.47, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.