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Fleetwood Town v Barrow prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 12:30 League Two Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Fleetwood Town to win 38%
Fleetwood 38% Draw 27% Barrow 35%
Best price4.00 Betfair Fair price2.62 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceFleetwood Town to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Fleetwood Town All games W L L D W
2–1 at HAT 1–2 v NOT 1–2 v BMY 1–1 at OAT 1–0 at CAX
Barrow All games L L L W L
1–3 at SWI 1–2 at NOT 1–2 at SHT 1–0 v CLU 0–1 v HAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes62% Both teams scored in 5 of Fleetwood Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 6 of Barrow's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerFleetwoodDrawBarrow
Betfair 4.00 3.50 1.83
WilliamHill 2.00 3.30 3.50
bet365 2.00 3.60 3.40
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Fleetwood Town v Barrow: prediction and result

Fleetwood Town hosted Barrow in the League Two on Saturday 21 February and won 3–2.

Fleetwood Town are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Crewe Alexandra.

Barrow are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Harrogate Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.00 for Fleetwood, 3.60 for the draw and 3.50 for Barrow. The bookmakers see little between Barrow and the draw here.

Our prediction: Fleetwood Town to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 4.00 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.62, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.