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Luton Town v Burton Albion prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Luton Town to win 60%
Luton 60% Draw 23% Burton 17%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price1.65 from our 60%

How we got to 60%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 61%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 60%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLuton Town to win 60%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Luton Town All games L W W L L
0–1 at HDD 1–0 v BLK 2–1 v BDC 1–3 at CDF 0–1 at WIG
Burton Albion All games L D L D W
1–2 at BOL 2–2 v CDF 1–2 v DNR 2–2 at PTV 1–0 v RTU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Luton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Burton Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLutonDrawBurton
WilliamHill 1.75 3.60 4.33
bet365 1.75 3.60 4.50
Betfair 1.22 5.50 12.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Luton Town v Burton Albion: prediction and result

Luton Town hosted Burton Albion in the League One on Saturday 21 February, and it finished 1–1.

Luton Town are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Wigan Athletic.

Burton Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Rotherham United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.75 for Luton, 5.50 for the draw and 12.00 for Burton. The bookmakers make Luton Town favourites, at about 68% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Luton Town to win, with a 60% chance. The market puts it at 61% and our match model at 60%, and blending those with recent form gives 60%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.