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Newport County v Cambridge United prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 League Two Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cambridge United to win 57%
Newport 18% Draw 25% Cambridge 57%
Best price1.62 WilliamHill Fair price1.76 from our 57%

How we got to 57%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 54%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCambridge United to win 57%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newport County All games L D L L W
0–3 at BRR 0–0 v GBT 0–2 at SWI 0–1 at MKD 3–1 at SAL
Cambridge United All games W L W W D
3–0 at OAT 1–2 at HAT 3–0 at CRT 3–1 v BRR 1–1 v CLU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes45% Both teams scored in 2 of Newport County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Cambridge United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewportDrawCambridge
Betfair 6.00 3.80 1.57
bet365 5.75 3.75 1.60
WilliamHill 5.50 3.60 1.62
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newport County v Cambridge United: prediction and result

Newport County hosted Cambridge United in the League Two on Saturday 21 February, and Cambridge United won 0–2 away from home.

Newport County are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Salford City.

Cambridge United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Colchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 6.00 for Newport, 3.80 for the draw and 1.62 for Cambridge. The bookmakers make Cambridge United favourites, at about 59% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cambridge United to win, with a 57% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 54%, and blending those with recent form gives 57%. The best price, 1.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.76. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

More League Two predictions

All League Two picks that week →
1–3 FT Salford City v Newport County Salford City to win 69% 1–1 FT Bromley v Cheltenham Town Bromley to win 58% 0–0 FT Milton Keynes Dons v Crawley Town Milton Keynes Dons to win 58% 1–2 FT Barnet v Swindon Town Barnet to win 51% 0–1 FT Barrow v Harrogate Town Barrow to win 51% 1–1 FT Cambridge United v Colchester United Cambridge United to win 48% 2–0 FT Oldham Athletic v Bristol Rovers Oldham Athletic to win 45% 1–0 FT Chesterfield v Gillingham Chesterfield to win 45%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.