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Northampton Town v Leyton Orient prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 League One Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Northampton Town to win 38%
Northampton 37% Draw 27% Leyton Orient 35%
Best price2.75 Betfair Fair price2.67 from our 38%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNorthampton Town to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Northampton Town All games L D W D L
0–2 v RDG 2–2 at BRS 3–1 v STV 0–0 at EXE 0–4 at LNC
Leyton Orient All games L L L D L
1–2 at BOL 0–3 at DNR 0–1 v PTV 0–0 at STO 1–3 v PLA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 4 of Northampton Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Leyton Orient's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNorthamptonDrawLeyton Orient
Betfair 2.75 3.30 2.60
bet365 2.70 3.25 2.55
WilliamHill 2.62 3.25 2.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Northampton Town v Leyton Orient: prediction and result

Northampton Town hosted Leyton Orient in the League One on Saturday 21 February, and Leyton Orient won 1–2 away from home.

Northampton Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat away at Lincoln City.

Leyton Orient are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Plymouth Argyle.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.75 for Northampton, 3.30 for the draw and 2.60 for Leyton Orient. The bookmakers see little between Leyton Orient and Northampton Town here.

Our prediction: Northampton Town to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.75 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.67, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.