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Peterborough United v Exeter City prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 15:00 League One Full time 3–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Exeter City to win 42%
Peterborough 35% Draw 23% Exeter 42%
Best price2.87 bet365 Fair price2.37 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 50%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 30%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceExeter City to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Peterborough United All games L W W L L
2–3 v HDD 6–1 v WIG 2–1 at MAN 0–2 at BDC 1–2 at BRS
Exeter City All games D L D D D
2–2 at RDG 0–4 v RTU 0–0 at MAN 0–0 v NHT 1–1 v WYC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 4 of Peterborough United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Exeter City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPeterboroughDrawExeter
Betfair 26.00 9.00 1.10
bet365 2.30 3.50 2.87
WilliamHill 2.25 3.40 2.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Peterborough United v Exeter City: prediction and result

Peterborough United hosted Exeter City in the League One on Saturday 21 February, and it finished 3–3.

Peterborough United are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Barnsley.

Exeter City are in mixed form: 0 won, 4 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Wycombe Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 26.00 for Peterborough, 9.00 for the draw and 2.87 for Exeter. The bookmakers make Exeter City favourites, at about 70% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Exeter City to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 50% and our match model at 30%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.87 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.37, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.