How we got to 43%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle
All games
D
L
L
W
W
Cardiff City
All games
W
D
W
W
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersPlymouth Argyle v Cardiff City: prediction and result
Plymouth Argyle hosted Cardiff City in the League One on Saturday 21 February and won 5–2.
Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Leyton Orient.
Cardiff City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 16 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win at home to AFC Wimbledon.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Plymouth, 3.60 for the draw and 2.38 for Cardiff. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.38 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.30, so there is value in it. The pick lost.
More League One predictions
All League One picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.