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Plymouth Argyle v Cardiff City prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 12:30 League One Full time 5–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Cardiff City to win 43%
Plymouth 30% Draw 27% Cardiff 43%
Best price2.38 Betfair Fair price2.30 from our 43%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle All games D L L W W
1–1 v MAN 1–2 at STO 1–4 v LNC 4–0 at BLK 3–1 at LEY
Cardiff City All games W D W W W
4–0 v BRS 2–2 at BRA 3–0 at RTU 3–1 v LUT 4–1 v AWM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 4 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Cardiff City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPlymouthDrawCardiff
Betfair 3.00 3.00 2.38
bet365 3.00 3.60 2.20
WilliamHill 2.90 3.50 2.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Cardiff City: prediction and result

Plymouth Argyle hosted Cardiff City in the League One on Saturday 21 February and won 5–2.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Leyton Orient.

Cardiff City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 16 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win at home to AFC Wimbledon.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Plymouth, 3.60 for the draw and 2.38 for Cardiff. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 41% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.38 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.30, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.