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Swindon Town v Crewe Alexandra prediction

Sat 21 Feb, 12:30 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Swindon Town to win 46%
Swindon 46% Draw 27% Crewe 27%
Best price2.10 Betfair Fair price2.16 from our 46%

How we got to 46%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSwindon Town to win 46%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swindon Town All games W W W L W
1–0 at HAT 3–0 v OAT 2–0 v NPT 1–3 at SHT 2–1 at BNT
Crewe Alexandra All games W D W W L
1–0 v CLU 1–1 at BNT 1–0 at CRT 1–0 v GLG 0–1 v FLT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 2 of Swindon Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwindonDrawCrewe
Betfair 2.10 3.00 3.50
WilliamHill 2.00 3.50 3.40
bet365 1.95 3.50 3.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swindon Town v Crewe Alexandra: prediction and result

Swindon Town hosted Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on Saturday 21 February, and Crewe Alexandra won 1–2 away from home.

Swindon Town are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Barnet.

Crewe Alexandra are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Fleetwood Town.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.10 for Swindon, 3.50 for the draw and 3.60 for Crewe. The bookmakers make Swindon Town favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Swindon Town to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 2.10 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.16. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.