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AFC Bournemouth v Sunderland prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 12:30 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
AFC Bournemouth to win 51%
AFC Bournemouth 51% Draw 26% Sunderland 23%
Best price1.83 bet365 Fair price1.97 from our 51%

How we got to 51%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Bournemouth to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Bournemouth All games W W D W D
3–2 v LIV 2–0 at WOL 1–1 v AVL 2–1 at EVE 0–0 at WHU
Sunderland All games L W L L L
1–3 at WHU 3–0 v BUR 0–3 at ARS 0–1 v LIV 1–3 v FUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 5 of AFC Bournemouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Sunderland's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC BournemouthDrawSunderland
bet365 1.83 3.60 4.33
WilliamHill 1.80 3.50 4.20
Betfair 1.80 3.60 4.33
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Bournemouth v Sunderland: prediction and result

AFC Bournemouth hosted Sunderland in the Premier League on Saturday 28 February, and it finished 1–1.

AFC Bournemouth are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at West Ham United.

Sunderland are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Fulham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.83 for AFC Bournemouth, 3.60 for the draw and 4.33 for Sunderland. The bookmakers make AFC Bournemouth favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 1.83 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.97. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.