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Burnley v Brentford prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 15:00 Premier League Full time 3–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Brentford to win 49%
Burnley 26% Draw 25% Brentford 49%
Best price1.75 WilliamHill Fair price2.03 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 53%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrentford to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burnley All games D L L W D
2–2 v TOT 0–3 at SUN 0–2 v WHU 3–2 at CRY 1–1 at CHE
Brentford All games L W W D L
0–2 v NFO 1–0 at AVL 3–2 at NEW 1–1 v ARS 0–2 v BHA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 4 of Burnley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Brentford's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurnleyDrawBrentford
Betfair 4.33 3.75 1.75
bet365 4.33 3.90 1.75
WilliamHill 4.20 3.70 1.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burnley v Brentford: prediction and result

Burnley hosted Brentford in the Premier League on Saturday 28 February, and Brentford won 3–4 away from home.

Burnley are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Chelsea.

Brentford are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Brighton & Hove Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.33 for Burnley, 3.90 for the draw and 1.75 for Brentford. The bookmakers make Brentford favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Brentford to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 53% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.75 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.03. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.