How we got to 57%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Manchester United
All games
W
W
W
D
W
Crystal Palace
All games
L
D
W
L
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersManchester United v Crystal Palace: prediction and result
Manchester United hosted Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Sunday 1 March and won 2–1.
Manchester United are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Everton.
Crystal Palace are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.55 for Man United, 4.33 for the draw and 6.00 for Crystal Palace. The bookmakers make Manchester United favourites, at about 62% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Manchester United to win, with a 57% chance. The market puts it at 62% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 57%. The best price, 1.55 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.75. The pick won.
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