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Leeds United v Manchester City prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 17:30 Premier League Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester City to win 51%
Leeds 23% Draw 25% Man City 51%
Best price1.83 Betfair Fair price1.94 from our 51%

How we got to 51%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leeds United All games D L W D D
1–1 at EVE 0–4 v ARS 3–1 v NFO 2–2 at CHE 1–1 at AVL
Manchester City All games W D W W W
2–0 v WOL 2–2 at TOT 2–1 at LIV 3–0 v FUL 2–1 v NEW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 4 of Leeds United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Manchester City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeedsDrawMan City
bet365 4.75 3.90 1.70
WilliamHill 4.60 3.75 1.67
Betfair 4.20 3.25 1.83
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leeds United v Manchester City: prediction and result

Leeds United hosted Manchester City in the Premier League on Saturday 28 February, and Manchester City won 0–1 away from home.

Leeds United are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Aston Villa.

Manchester City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Newcastle United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.75 for Leeds, 3.90 for the draw and 1.83 for Man City. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 1.83 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.94. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.