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Newcastle United v Everton prediction

Sat 28 Feb, 15:00 Premier League Full time 2–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Newcastle United to win 47%
Newcastle 47% Draw 25% Everton 28%
Best price3.75 Betfair Fair price2.11 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newcastle United All games L L L W L
0–2 v AVL 1–4 at LIV 2–3 v BRE 2–1 at TOT 1–2 at MCI
Everton All games D D W L L
1–1 v LEE 1–1 at BHA 2–1 at FUL 1–2 v BOU 0–1 v MUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Everton's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewcastleDrawEverton
Betfair 3.75 3.25 2.00
WilliamHill 1.75 3.60 4.20
bet365 1.75 3.80 4.33
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v Everton: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted Everton in the Premier League on Saturday 28 February, and Everton won 2–3 away from home.

Newcastle United are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Manchester City.

Everton are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Manchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.75 for Newcastle, 3.80 for the draw and 4.33 for Everton. The bookmakers see little between Newcastle United and the draw here.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 3.75 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.11, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.