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Everton v Burnley prediction

Tue 3 Mar, 19:30 Premier League Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Everton to win 53%
Everton 53% Draw 25% Burnley 21%
Best price1.62 WilliamHill Fair price1.88 from our 53%

How we got to 53%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 58%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceEverton to win 53%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Everton All games D W L L W
1–1 at BHA 2–1 at FUL 1–2 v BOU 0–1 v MUN 3–2 at NEW
Burnley All games L L W D L
0–3 at SUN 0–2 v WHU 3–2 at CRY 1–1 at CHE 3–4 v BRE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 4 of Everton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Burnley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerEvertonDrawBurnley
WilliamHill 1.62 3.60 5.50
bet365 1.61 3.80 5.75
Betfair 1.57 3.90 5.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Everton v Burnley: prediction and result

Everton hosted Burnley in the Premier League on Tuesday 3 March and won 2–0.

Everton are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win away at Newcastle United.

Burnley are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 3–4 defeat at home to Brentford.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.62 for Everton, 3.90 for the draw and 5.75 for Burnley. The bookmakers make Everton favourites, at about 59% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Everton to win, with a 53% chance. The market puts it at 58% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 53%. The best price, 1.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.88. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.