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Manchester City v Nottingham Forest prediction

Wed 4 Mar, 19:30 Premier League Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Manchester City to win 68%
Man City 68% Draw 20% Nott'm Forest 13%
Best price1.40 WilliamHill Fair price1.47 from our 68%

How we got to 68%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 68%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 67%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 68%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester City All games D W W W W
2–2 at TOT 2–1 at LIV 3–0 v FUL 2–1 v NEW 1–0 at LEE
Nottingham Forest All games D L D L L
1–1 v CRY 1–3 at LEE 0–0 v WOL 0–1 v LIV 1–2 at BHA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Manchester City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Nottingham Forest's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan CityDrawNott'm Forest
WilliamHill 1.40 4.60 7.50
bet365 1.38 5.00 8.00
Betfair 1.36 4.75 8.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester City v Nottingham Forest: prediction and result

Manchester City hosted Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Wednesday 4 March, and it finished 2–2.

Manchester City are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Leeds United.

Nottingham Forest are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Brighton & Hove Albion.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.40 for Man City, 5.00 for the draw and 8.00 for Nott'm Forest. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 69% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 68% chance. The market puts it at 68% and our match model at 67%, and blending those with recent form gives 68%. The best price, 1.40 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.47. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.