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Newcastle United v Manchester United prediction

Wed 4 Mar, 20:15 Premier League Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Manchester United to win 37%
Newcastle 37% Draw 26% Man United 37%
Best price2.60 bet365 Fair price2.68 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 37%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester United to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newcastle United All games L L W L L
1–4 at LIV 2–3 v BRE 2–1 at TOT 1–2 at MCI 2–3 v EVE
Manchester United All games W W D W W
3–2 v FUL 2–0 v TOT 1–1 at WHU 1–0 at EVE 2–1 v CRY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes64% Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Manchester United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewcastleDrawMan United
bet365 2.60 3.60 2.60
Betfair 2.55 3.60 2.55
WilliamHill 2.50 3.50 2.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v Manchester United: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted Manchester United in the Premier League on Wednesday 4 March and won 2–1.

Newcastle United are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat at home to Everton.

Manchester United are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Crystal Palace.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.60 for Newcastle, 3.60 for the draw and 2.60 for Man United. The bookmakers see little between Newcastle United and Manchester United here.

Our prediction: Manchester United to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 37% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.60 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.68. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League picks that week →
2–0 FT Everton v Burnley Everton to win 53% 0–1 FT Leeds United v Sunderland Leeds United to win 51% 0–0 FT AFC Bournemouth v Brentford AFC Bournemouth to win 38% 2–1 FT Wolverhampton Wanderers v Liverpool Liverpool to win 65% 2–2 FT Manchester City v Nottingham Forest Manchester City to win 68% 0–1 FT Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal Arsenal to win 54% 0–1 FT Fulham v West Ham United Fulham to win 47% 1–4 FT Aston Villa v Chelsea Chelsea to win 37%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.