Acca tips Tables Features Pricing FAQ Log in
Start 7-day free trial
v

Aston Villa v Chelsea prediction

Wed 4 Mar, 19:30 Premier League Full time 1–4
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Chelsea to win 37%
Aston Villa 37% Draw 26% Chelsea 37%
Best price2.55 bet365 Fair price2.68 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 37%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChelsea to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Aston Villa All games L D W D L
0–1 v BRE 1–1 at BOU 1–0 v BHA 1–1 v LEE 0–2 at WOL
Chelsea All games W W D D L
3–2 v WHU 3–1 at WOL 2–2 v LEE 1–1 v BUR 1–2 at ARS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes63% Both teams scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 6 of Chelsea's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAston VillaDrawChelsea
Betfair 2.63 3.40 2.50
WilliamHill 2.62 3.30 2.50
bet365 2.62 3.50 2.55
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Aston Villa v Chelsea: prediction and result

Aston Villa hosted Chelsea in the Premier League on Wednesday 4 March, and Chelsea won 1–4 away from home.

Aston Villa are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Chelsea are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Arsenal.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.63 for Aston Villa, 3.50 for the draw and 2.55 for Chelsea. The bookmakers see little between Chelsea and Aston Villa here.

Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 37% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.55 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.68. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

All Premier League picks that week →
2–0 FT Everton v Burnley Everton to win 53% 0–1 FT Leeds United v Sunderland Leeds United to win 51% 0–0 FT AFC Bournemouth v Brentford AFC Bournemouth to win 38% 2–1 FT Wolverhampton Wanderers v Liverpool Liverpool to win 65% 2–2 FT Manchester City v Nottingham Forest Manchester City to win 68% 0–1 FT Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal Arsenal to win 54% 0–1 FT Fulham v West Ham United Fulham to win 47% 2–1 FT Newcastle United v Manchester United Manchester United to win 37%
See the chance for every fixture. Every fixture ranked, BTTS picks and the acca slip. 7 days free, then £4.99 a month. Start your free week 18+

Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.