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Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal prediction

Wed 4 Mar, 19:30 Premier League Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Arsenal to win 54%
Brighton 20% Draw 26% Arsenal 54%
Best price1.67 WilliamHill Fair price1.85 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 56%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 51%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceArsenal to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Brighton & Hove Albion All games D L L W W
1–1 v EVE 0–1 v CRY 0–1 at AVL 2–0 at BRE 2–1 v NFO
Arsenal All games W D D W W
3–0 v SUN 1–1 at BRE 2–2 at WOL 4–1 at TOT 2–1 v CHE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Arsenal's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBrightonDrawArsenal
WilliamHill 5.00 3.60 1.67
Betfair 5.00 3.75 1.67
bet365 5.00 3.80 1.66
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Arsenal: prediction and result

Brighton & Hove Albion hosted Arsenal in the Premier League on Wednesday 4 March, and Arsenal won 0–1 away from home.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Nottingham Forest.

Arsenal are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Chelsea.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 5.00 for Brighton, 3.80 for the draw and 1.67 for Arsenal. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 56% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 56% and our match model at 51%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 1.67 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.85. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.