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AFC Wimbledon v Northampton Town prediction

Sun 8 Mar, 12:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
AFC Wimbledon to win 49%
AFC Wimbledon 49% Draw 27% Northampton 24%
Best price1.95 WilliamHill Fair price2.05 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Wimbledon to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Wimbledon All games W D L W D
3–2 v RDG 3–3 at BRS 1–4 at CDF 3–1 v BDC 2–2 at MAN
Northampton Town All games D L L L D
0–0 at EXE 0–4 at LNC 1–2 v LEY 0–1 v PTV 1–1 v PTU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 2 of AFC Wimbledon's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Northampton Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC WimbledonDrawNorthampton
WilliamHill 1.95 3.25 3.75
Betfair 1.91 3.40 3.75
bet365 1.90 3.40 3.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Wimbledon v Northampton Town: prediction and result

AFC Wimbledon hosted Northampton Town in the League One on Sunday 8 March and won 1–0.

AFC Wimbledon are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Mansfield Town.

Northampton Town are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Peterborough United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.95 for AFC Wimbledon, 3.40 for the draw and 3.80 for Northampton. The bookmakers make AFC Wimbledon favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: AFC Wimbledon to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.95 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.05. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.