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Burnley v AFC Bournemouth prediction

Sat 14 Mar, 15:00 Premier League Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
AFC Bournemouth to win 47%
Burnley 28% Draw 25% AFC Bournemouth 47%
Best price1.83 bet365 Fair price2.15 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Bournemouth to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burnley All games L W D L L
0–2 v WHU 3–2 at CRY 1–1 at CHE 3–4 v BRE 0–2 at EVE
AFC Bournemouth All games D W D D D
1–1 v AVL 2–1 at EVE 0–0 at WHU 1–1 v SUN 0–0 v BRE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 4 of Burnley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of AFC Bournemouth's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurnleyDrawAFC Bournemouth
Betfair 4.00 3.90 1.80
bet365 3.90 4.00 1.83
WilliamHill 3.80 3.90 1.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burnley v AFC Bournemouth: prediction and result

Burnley hosted AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Saturday 14 March, and it finished 0–0.

Burnley are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Everton.

AFC Bournemouth are in decent form: 1 won, 4 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Brentford.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 4.00 for Burnley, 4.00 for the draw and 1.83 for AFC Bournemouth. The bookmakers make AFC Bournemouth favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 1.83 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.15. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.