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Crystal Palace v Leeds United prediction

Sun 15 Mar, 14:00 Premier League Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Crystal Palace to win 39%
Crystal Palace 39% Draw 29% Leeds 32%
Best price2.75 bet365 Fair price2.56 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 46%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrystal Palace to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crystal Palace All games W L W L W
1–0 at BHA 2–3 v BUR 1–0 v WOL 1–2 at MUN 3–1 at TOT
Leeds United All games W D D L L
3–1 v NFO 2–2 at CHE 1–1 at AVL 0–1 v MCI 0–1 v SUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 3 of Crystal Palace's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Leeds United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCrystal PalaceDrawLeeds
bet365 2.75 3.25 2.62
Betfair 2.70 3.10 2.63
WilliamHill 2.62 3.10 2.62
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crystal Palace v Leeds United: prediction and result

Crystal Palace hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Sunday 15 March, and it finished 0–0.

Crystal Palace are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Tottenham Hotspur.

Leeds United are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Sunderland.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.75 for Crystal Palace, 3.25 for the draw and 2.63 for Leeds. The bookmakers see little between Leeds United and Crystal Palace here.

Our prediction: Crystal Palace to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 46%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.75 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.56, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.