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Sunderland v Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Sat 14 Mar, 15:00 Premier League Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Brighton & Hove Albion to win 45%
Sunderland 28% Draw 27% Brighton 45%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.20 from our 45%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 44%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrighton & Hove Albion to win 45%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Sunderland All games L L L D W
0–3 at ARS 0–1 v LIV 1–3 v FUL 1–1 at BOU 1–0 at LEE
Brighton & Hove Albion All games L L W W L
0–1 v CRY 0–1 at AVL 2–0 at BRE 2–1 v NFO 0–1 v ARS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Sunderland's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSunderlandDrawBrighton
Betfair 3.70 3.40 2.00
WilliamHill 3.60 3.30 2.05
bet365 3.60 3.60 2.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Sunderland v Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and result

Sunderland hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday 14 March, and Brighton & Hove Albion won 0–1 away from home.

Sunderland are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Leeds United.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Arsenal.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.70 for Sunderland, 3.60 for the draw and 2.05 for Brighton. The bookmakers make Brighton & Hove Albion favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.20. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.