How we got to 45%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Sunderland
All games
L
L
L
D
W
Brighton & Hove Albion
All games
L
L
W
W
L
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersSunderland v Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and result
Sunderland hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday 14 March, and Brighton & Hove Albion won 0–1 away from home.
Sunderland are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Leeds United.
Brighton & Hove Albion are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Arsenal.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.70 for Sunderland, 3.60 for the draw and 2.05 for Brighton. The bookmakers make Brighton & Hove Albion favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 45% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 44%, and blending those with recent form gives 45%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.20. The pick won.
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