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Chelsea v Newcastle United prediction

Sat 14 Mar, 17:30 Premier League Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Chelsea to win 56%
Chelsea 56% Draw 22% Newcastle 22%
Best price1.70 WilliamHill Fair price1.80 from our 56%

How we got to 56%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 56%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 55%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChelsea to win 56%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chelsea All games W D D L W
3–1 at WOL 2–2 v LEE 1–1 v BUR 1–2 at ARS 4–1 at AVL
Newcastle United All games L W L L W
2–3 v BRE 2–1 at TOT 1–2 at MCI 2–3 v EVE 2–1 v MUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes63% Both teams scored in 5 of Chelsea's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChelseaDrawNewcastle
WilliamHill 1.70 4.00 4.20
Betfair 1.70 4.33 4.60
bet365 1.66 4.33 4.33
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chelsea v Newcastle United: prediction and result

Chelsea hosted Newcastle United in the Premier League on Saturday 14 March, and Newcastle United won 0–1 away from home.

Chelsea are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win away at Aston Villa.

Newcastle United are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Manchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.70 for Chelsea, 4.33 for the draw and 4.60 for Newcastle. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 57% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 56% chance. The market puts it at 56% and our match model at 55%, and blending those with recent form gives 56%. The best price, 1.70 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.80. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.