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Watford v Wrexham prediction

Tue 17 Mar, 19:45 Championship Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Watford to win 40%
Watford 40% Draw 28% Wrexham 32%
Best price2.25 Betfair Fair price2.51 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 36%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceWatford to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Watford All games W L W D L
2–0 v DRB 0–2 v IPS 2–1 at BSC 1–1 at SHF 1–3 at STK
Wrexham All games W W W L W
5–3 v IPS 2–1 v PTM 1–0 at CHA 1–2 v HUL 2–0 v SWA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 1 of Watford's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Wrexham's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerWatfordDrawWrexham
Betfair 2.25 3.30 3.10
bet365 2.20 3.40 3.20
WilliamHill 2.15 3.20 3.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Watford v Wrexham: prediction and result

Watford hosted Wrexham in the Championship on Tuesday 17 March and won 3–1.

Watford are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Stoke City.

Wrexham are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Swansea City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Watford, 3.40 for the draw and 3.20 for Wrexham. The bookmakers make Watford favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Watford to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.25 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.51. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.