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Southampton v Oxford United prediction

Sat 21 Mar, 15:00 Championship Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Southampton to win 66%
Southampton 66% Draw 21% Oxford 14%
Best price1.62 WilliamHill Fair price1.53 from our 66%

How we got to 66%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 69%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 60%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 66%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games W W D W W
5–0 v QPR 3–1 at SHF 1–1 at WBA 2–1 at CVC 1–0 v NOR
Oxford United All games L W W W D
1–2 at STK 2–1 v WBA 3–1 at PNE 1–0 v BBR 1–1 v CHA

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes49% Both teams scored in 2 of Southampton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Oxford United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawOxford
WilliamHill 1.62 3.80 5.00
bet365 1.60 3.75 6.00
Betfair 1.05 15.00 41.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v Oxford United: prediction and result

Southampton hosted Oxford United in the Championship on Saturday 21 March and won 2–0.

Southampton are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Norwich City.

Oxford United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Charlton Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.62 for Southampton, 15.00 for the draw and 41.00 for Oxford. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 87% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 66% chance. The market puts it at 69% and our match model at 60%, and blending those with recent form gives 66%. The best price, 1.62 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.