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Southampton v Norwich City prediction

Wed 18 Mar, 19:45 Championship Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Southampton to win 49%
Southampton 49% Draw 26% Norwich 25%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price2.02 from our 49%

How we got to 49%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSouthampton to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Southampton All games D W W D W
1–1 v CHA 5–0 v QPR 3–1 at SHF 1–1 at WBA 2–1 at CVC
Norwich City All games L W W W W
1–2 v BRC 2–0 v SHF 2–0 at LEI 2–1 v SHU 2–0 v PNE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Southampton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Norwich City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSouthamptonDrawNorwich
WilliamHill 1.91 3.40 3.75
bet365 1.90 3.50 3.90
Betfair 1.85 3.60 3.75
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Southampton v Norwich City: prediction and result

Southampton hosted Norwich City in the Championship on Wednesday 18 March and won 1–0.

Southampton are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Coventry City.

Norwich City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Preston North End.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.91 for Southampton, 3.60 for the draw and 3.90 for Norwich. The bookmakers make Southampton favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Southampton to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.02. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Championship table

More Championship predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.