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Preston North End v Stoke City prediction

Fri 20 Mar, 20:00 Championship Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Preston North End to win 37%
Preston North End 37% Draw 28% Stoke 35%
Best price3.75 Betfair Fair price2.72 from our 37%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePreston North End to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Preston North End All games D L L L L
1–1 at SWA 0–2 v MLW 1–3 v OXF 0–3 at CVC 0–2 at NOR
Stoke City All games W L L D W
2–1 v OXF 1–2 at CVC 0–2 at SWA 3–3 v IPS 3–1 v WAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 2 of Preston North End's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Stoke City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPreston North EndDrawStoke
Betfair 3.75 3.50 1.91
bet365 2.35 3.30 2.90
WilliamHill 2.30 3.25 2.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Preston North End v Stoke City: prediction and result

Preston North End hosted Stoke City in the Championship on Friday 20 March and won 3–1.

Preston North End are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Norwich City.

Stoke City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Watford.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.75 for Preston North End, 3.50 for the draw and 2.90 for Stoke. The bookmakers make Stoke City favourites, at about 38% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Preston North End to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 3.75 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.72, so there is value in it. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.