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Salford City v Milton Keynes Dons prediction

Sat 28 Mar, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Milton Keynes Dons to win 38%
Salford 35% Draw 27% Milton Keynes 38%
Best price2.45 Betfair Fair price2.64 from our 38%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 39%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 36%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceMilton Keynes Dons to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Salford City All games W W W W L
2–0 v BNT 1–0 v WSL 1–0 at HAT 3–1 v BRW 0–1 at CMU
Milton Keynes Dons All games W W W W L
4–1 v HAT 5–1 at GLG 2–1 at SWI 1–0 v CLU 1–3 v BNT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 3 of Salford City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Milton Keynes Dons's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSalfordDrawMilton Keynes
WilliamHill 2.90 3.20 2.30
bet365 2.90 3.25 2.35
Betfair 2.88 3.30 2.45
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Salford City v Milton Keynes Dons: prediction and result

Salford City hosted Milton Keynes Dons in the League Two on Saturday 28 March and won 1–0.

Salford City are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Cambridge United.

Milton Keynes Dons are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Barnet.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Salford, 3.30 for the draw and 2.45 for Milton Keynes. The bookmakers make Milton Keynes Dons favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Milton Keynes Dons to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 39% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.45 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.64. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.