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Port Vale v Rotherham United prediction

Tue 7 Apr, 19:45 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Port Vale to win 41%
Port Vale 41% Draw 28% Rotherham 31%
Best price2.60 bet365 Fair price2.44 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 36%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePort Vale to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Port Vale All games D L W L L
0–0 v HDD 2–3 at BLK 1–0 v BOL 0–1 at DNR 0–4 at WYC
Rotherham United All games L D L L D
0–1 at HDD 2–2 v BOL 0–5 at PTU 0–3 at LNC 0–0 v STV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes45% Both teams scored in 3 of Port Vale's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 0 of Rotherham United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPort ValeDrawRotherham
bet365 2.60 3.20 2.62
WilliamHill 2.50 3.10 2.70
Betfair 2.50 3.10 2.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Port Vale v Rotherham United: prediction and result

Port Vale hosted Rotherham United in the League One on Tuesday 7 April and won 1–0.

Port Vale are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat away at Wycombe Wanderers.

Rotherham United are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Stevenage.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.60 for Port Vale, 3.20 for the draw and 2.80 for Rotherham. The bookmakers see little between Port Vale and Rotherham United here.

Our prediction: Port Vale to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 36% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.60 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.44, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.