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Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 12:30 League One Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Plymouth Argyle to win 59%
Plymouth 59% Draw 22% Exeter 19%
Best price1.44 Betfair Fair price1.70 from our 59%

How we got to 59%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 65%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chancePlymouth Argyle to win 59%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Plymouth Argyle All games D W W L W
2–2 at RDG 1–0 v STV 3–1 v HDD 1–2 v BOL 3–0 at BRS
Exeter City All games L L D L W
2–3 at LUT 0–2 at WIG 0–0 v LEY 0–1 at BLK 3–0 v DNR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 5 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Exeter City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerPlymouthDrawExeter
Betfair 1.44 4.20 6.50
WilliamHill 1.40 4.80 6.00
bet365 1.40 4.75 7.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City: prediction and result

Plymouth Argyle hosted Exeter City in the League One on Saturday 11 April, and it finished 2–2.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at Barnsley.

Exeter City are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Doncaster Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.44 for Plymouth, 4.80 for the draw and 7.00 for Exeter. The bookmakers make Plymouth Argyle favourites, at about 66% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Plymouth Argyle to win, with a 59% chance. The market puts it at 65% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 59%. The best price, 1.44 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.70. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.