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Cardiff City v Bolton Wanderers prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 12:30 League One Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cardiff City to win 48%
Cardiff 48% Draw 26% Bolton 26%
Best price1.83 Betfair Fair price2.09 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 51%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cardiff City All games D W L D D
1–1 at BRS 4–0 at EXE 0–2 v WYC 0–0 v BLK 1–1 at PTU
Bolton Wanderers All games D D L W D
2–2 at RTU 0–0 v DNR 0–1 at PTV 2–1 at PLA 2–2 v STO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 2 of Cardiff City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Bolton Wanderers's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCardiffDrawBolton
Betfair 1.83 3.00 5.00
WilliamHill 1.80 3.75 3.75
bet365 1.80 4.00 3.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cardiff City v Bolton Wanderers: prediction and result

Cardiff City hosted Bolton Wanderers in the League One on Saturday 11 April and won 2–0.

Cardiff City are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Peterborough United.

Bolton Wanderers are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Stockport County.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.83 for Cardiff, 4.00 for the draw and 5.00 for Bolton. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 55% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 51% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 1.83 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.09. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.