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Doncaster Rovers v Reading prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Doncaster Rovers to win 47%
Doncaster 47% Draw 28% Reading 26%
Best price2.25 Betfair Fair price2.15 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 47%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 45%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceDoncaster Rovers to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Doncaster Rovers All games D W W L L
0–0 at BOL 1–0 at BRS 1–0 v PTV 0–2 v MAN 0–3 at EXE
Reading All games W L W D L
2–1 at BRA 0–1 at STV 3–0 v WIG 1–1 at HDD 1–2 v LNC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 2 of Doncaster Rovers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Reading's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDoncasterDrawReading
Betfair 2.25 2.50 4.20
WilliamHill 1.85 3.50 3.75
bet365 1.83 3.75 3.90
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Doncaster Rovers v Reading: prediction and result

Doncaster Rovers hosted Reading in the League One on Saturday 11 April and won 1–0.

Doncaster Rovers are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Exeter City.

Reading are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Lincoln City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.25 for Doncaster, 3.75 for the draw and 4.20 for Reading. The bookmakers make Doncaster Rovers favourites, at about 47% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Doncaster Rovers to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 47% and our match model at 45%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.25 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.15, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.