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Accrington Stanley v Fleetwood Town prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Fleetwood Town to win 37%
Accrington 27% Draw 35% Fleetwood 37%
Best price4.50 Betfair Fair price2.68 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceFleetwood Town to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Accrington Stanley All games L L L W L
0–4 v NOT 0–1 v CST 0–2 at BRR 2–0 v CAX 0–2 at GLG
Fleetwood Town All games L W D L L
0–1 at GBT 1–0 v CRT 1–1 at SWI 0–1 at BRR 2–5 v BNT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes46% Both teams scored in 1 of Accrington Stanley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Fleetwood Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAccringtonDrawFleetwood
Betfair 6.00 1.44 4.50
bet365 3.30 3.20 2.20
WilliamHill 3.10 3.10 2.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Accrington Stanley v Fleetwood Town: prediction and result

Accrington Stanley hosted Fleetwood Town in the League Two on Saturday 11 April, and Fleetwood Town won 1–2 away from home.

Accrington Stanley are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat away at Gillingham.

Fleetwood Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 2–5 defeat at home to Barnet.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 6.00 for Accrington, 3.20 for the draw and 4.50 for Fleetwood. The bookmakers make the draw the likeliest result, at about 45%.

Our prediction: Fleetwood Town to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 4.50 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.68, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.