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Newport County v Harrogate Town prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 15:00 League Two Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Newport County to win 43%
Newport 43% Draw 26% Harrogate 30%
Best price2.45 bet365 Fair price2.31 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNewport County to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newport County All games L L W L L
0–1 v BMY 1–2 at WSL 1–0 v SHT 0–2 v CRT 1–3 at NOT
Harrogate Town All games W L L W L
3–0 at TRR 0–1 at OAT 0–2 v NOT 3–1 at GBT 2–3 v BRR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 2 of Newport County's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Harrogate Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewportDrawHarrogate
bet365 2.45 3.25 2.87
WilliamHill 2.30 3.00 3.00
Betfair 1.36 4.50 8.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newport County v Harrogate Town: prediction and result

Newport County hosted Harrogate Town in the League Two on Saturday 11 April and won 2–1.

Newport County are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Notts County.

Harrogate Town are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–3 defeat at home to Bristol Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.45 for Newport, 4.50 for the draw and 8.00 for Harrogate. The bookmakers make Newport County favourites, at about 54% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newport County to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.45 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.31, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.