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Bradford City v Plymouth Argyle prediction

Tue 21 Apr, 19:45 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Bradford City to win 38%
Bradford 38% Draw 28% Plymouth 34%
Best price2.62 bet365 Fair price2.60 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 35%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBradford City to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Bradford City All games L W W L D
1–2 at BRA 1–0 v NHT 2–1 at WYC 0–1 v STV 2–2 at BRS
Plymouth Argyle All games W L W D W
3–1 v HDD 1–2 v BOL 3–0 at BRS 2–2 v EXE 3–1 at AWM

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Bradford City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Plymouth Argyle's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBradfordDrawPlymouth
bet365 2.62 3.25 2.55
WilliamHill 2.60 3.00 2.62
Betfair 2.60 3.10 2.63
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Bradford City v Plymouth Argyle: prediction and result

Bradford City hosted Plymouth Argyle in the League One on Tuesday 21 April, and it finished 1–1.

Bradford City are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Barnsley.

Plymouth Argyle are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at AFC Wimbledon.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.62 for Bradford, 3.25 for the draw and 2.63 for Plymouth. The bookmakers see little between Bradford City and Plymouth Argyle here.

Our prediction: Bradford City to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 35% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.62 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.60, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.