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Cardiff City v Northampton Town prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 15:00 League One Full time 5–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cardiff City to win 80%
Cardiff 80% Draw 14% Northampton 7%
Best price1.20 WilliamHill Fair price1.26 from our 80%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 84%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 74%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 80%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cardiff City All games D W D W W
1–1 at PTU 2–0 v BOL 1–1 at HDD 3–1 at RDG 1–0 v PTV
Northampton Town All games L L L L L
1–4 at MAN 0–1 at BDC 1–3 v WIG 1–2 at LUT 1–3 v DNR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes44% Both teams scored in 1 of Cardiff City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Northampton Town's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCardiffDrawNorthampton
WilliamHill 1.20 6.00 12.00
bet365 1.20 6.50 11.00
Betfair 1.01 34.00 151.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cardiff City v Northampton Town: prediction and result

Cardiff City hosted Northampton Town in the League One on Saturday 25 April and won 5–1.

Cardiff City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Port Vale.

Northampton Town are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat at home to Doncaster Rovers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.20 for Cardiff, 34.00 for the draw and 151.00 for Northampton. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 96% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 80% chance. The market puts it at 84% and our match model at 74%, and blending those with recent form gives 80%. The best price, 1.20 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.26. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.