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Cardiff City v Port Vale prediction

Wed 22 Apr, 19:45 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Cardiff City to win 68%
Cardiff 68% Draw 18% Port Vale 14%
Best price1.38 bet365 Fair price1.48 from our 68%

How we got to 68%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 68%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 67%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCardiff City to win 68%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Cardiff City All games D D W D W
0–0 v BLK 1–1 at PTU 2–0 v BOL 1–1 at HDD 3–1 at RDG
Port Vale All games L W D W D
0–4 at WYC 1–0 v RTU 0–0 v BRS 3–1 at PTU 0–0 v WIG

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes50% Both teams scored in 2 of Cardiff City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Port Vale's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCardiffDrawPort Vale
bet365 1.38 5.50 5.75
WilliamHill 1.36 4.80 7.00
Betfair 1.33 5.00 8.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Cardiff City v Port Vale: prediction and result

Cardiff City hosted Port Vale in the League One on Wednesday 22 April and won 1–0.

Cardiff City are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win away at Reading.

Port Vale are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Wigan Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.38 for Cardiff, 5.50 for the draw and 8.00 for Port Vale. The bookmakers make Cardiff City favourites, at about 70% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Cardiff City to win, with a 68% chance. The market puts it at 68% and our match model at 67%, and blending those with recent form gives 68%. The best price, 1.38 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.48. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.