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Stevenage v Barnsley prediction

Tue 21 Apr, 19:45 League One Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Stevenage to win 50%
Stevenage 50% Draw 28% Barnsley 23%
Best price1.73 WilliamHill Fair price2.01 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 54%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStevenage to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Stevenage All games D W W L D
0–0 at RTU 1–0 v BLK 1–0 at BDC 1–5 at BOL 2–2 v LNC
Barnsley All games D L W D D
1–1 at BRA 0–3 v PLA 3–1 at RTU 0–0 at PTV 2–2 v BDC

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 3 of Stevenage's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Barnsley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerStevenageDrawBarnsley
WilliamHill 1.73 3.30 4.80
Betfair 1.70 3.50 4.75
bet365 1.66 3.50 5.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Stevenage v Barnsley: prediction and result

Stevenage hosted Barnsley in the League One on Tuesday 21 April and won 1–0.

Stevenage are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Lincoln City.

Barnsley are in mixed form: 1 won, 3 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Bradford City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.73 for Stevenage, 3.50 for the draw and 5.25 for Barnsley. The bookmakers make Stevenage favourites, at about 55% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stevenage to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 54% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 1.73 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.01. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.