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Doncaster Rovers v Stevenage prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 12:30 League One Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Stevenage to win 43%
Doncaster 30% Draw 27% Stevenage 43%
Best price2.30 bet365 Fair price2.33 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 51%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 31%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceStevenage to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Doncaster Rovers All games L L W W L
0–2 v MAN 0–3 at EXE 1–0 v RDG 3–1 at NHT 0–2 v LNC
Stevenage All games W W L D W
1–0 v BLK 1–0 at BDC 1–5 at BOL 2–2 v LNC 1–0 v BRS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 2 of Doncaster Rovers's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Stevenage's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerDoncasterDrawStevenage
Betfair 10.00 4.20 1.36
WilliamHill 3.40 3.00 2.15
bet365 3.10 3.20 2.30
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Doncaster Rovers v Stevenage: prediction and result

Doncaster Rovers hosted Stevenage in the League One on Saturday 25 April, and it finished 1–1.

Doncaster Rovers are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–2 defeat at home to Lincoln City.

Stevenage are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Barnsley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 10.00 for Doncaster, 4.20 for the draw and 2.30 for Stevenage. The bookmakers make Stevenage favourites, at about 56% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Stevenage to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 51% and our match model at 31%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.30 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 2.33. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League One table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.